REFEREE REVIEW 2012: Neil Swarbrick « Untold Arsenal: Arsenal News. 800,000 visits last month
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This article is part of the series : REFEREE REVIEW 2012
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By DogFace and Walter Broeckx
Untold Arsenal has a team of qualified referees who have reviewed more than 40% of the EPL games from last season. The reviews themselves were based on full match video footage with the advantage of video technology features such as slow motion and pause.
By reviewing those 155 games we have made a database of more than 7000 decisions that have been judged by our panel of dedicated and qualified referees.
The numbers you will see are based on those decisions and those reviewed games.
Next ref in our review is Neil Swarbrick. He was a newcomer in the PL last season. And as is most the case you usually only get the smaller teams.
Neil Swarbrick
For now we will do the referee reviews based on the number of games we reviewed. And at the end of the series we will publish a referee league table.
We only managed to do two games from Swarbrick last season. It was two games from Arsenal away at Sunderland and Wolverhampton. That was 18% of the total games Swarbrick did in the PL.
So just as for Moss the results in this must be taken with a large pinch of salt. But it is all we can work with for now so we just have to do with it.
To improve this situation we need to be able to do more reviews next season. So possible referee reviewers who want to help us out, please join us.
Let us first look at the competency points of Neil Swarbrick.
As has been said a few times you need to score at least 70% in other countries to stay in the top league. In the un-weighted decisions he got a score of 70.31%. So that is just enough. But only just.
If we put on weight on the decisions his points rise to 72.04%. And that also would mean that he could stay in the PL next season. As been said : this is only based on two games of course.
Let us look at the different type of decisions.
All his goal decisions were correct. So that is very good.
He sure had some problems with the offside decisions. I know this is most of all down to his assistants but this is not a good score with only 77,78% correct decisions.
The other decisions are also not really convincing to be honest. Just 70.73% is not really good I think. So I think he has some work to do and improve himself.
80% of the penalty decisions were correct so that is not that bad. The one missed was when the result was quite clear and he seemed to feel a bit of sympathy for the losing team. But as a ref you cannot let your feelings take over. When there is a penalty foul, you have to give it no matter how big the score already is.
He was excellent when it came to giving a red card in the two games. But he still has got some work to do on giving yellow cards. A score well below 70% is not that good.
Let us now see if we can see if this ref was a home or an away ref.
Well only two games so could be just an accident of course. Or something else that we will come back to a bit later.
But what a big home bias for the home teams in the un-weighted decisions. This is a number I don’t like to see from a ref. But as I said: only two games.
If we put weight on the decisions we see the same picture. A big home bias in favour of the home team. You better have him at home it seems.
But it could be that he just as it is his first year in the PL is somehow choosing the easy way. Because by giving he home team the advantage of the doubt a bit you put less pressure on yourself. Having the away supporters shouting at you from one part of the ground is less impressive than the home support from 3 or 4 sides of the stadium.
Now let us see if we look at the teams if we can see something strange.
In the un-weighted numbers we see that the bias is strongly against Arsenal. But compared to other numbers from Arsenal not really over the top. Only around half the bias that is normally.
With this ref we see a big advantage to Sunderland at home and this was rather a rarity in the PL last season as Sunderland was one of the teams with a negative home bias.
Let us see if this changes a lot when we put weight on the decisions.
Not a lot in fact. The positions remain the same. Sunderland an unusual home bias, Wolverhampton having a good home bias and Arsenal a big negative bias against them. But as has been said before not over the top. Arsenal are used to more.
FINAL CONCLUSION
As this is only based on two games again the conclusions are to be taken with a pinch of salt.
The overall competency score is just enough. When we put weight on the decisions it rises so he tried to get his major decisions correct. Can he perform better? Only time and hopefully this season will tell. It the situation would be the same over more games I have my doubts on this ref to be honest.
He did what he had to do by giving penalties and red cards against the home team but then after that he tended to become a bit lenient towards the team he had rightly penalised. And that is a problem for a ref. You cannot ignore some things because the game has settled already and is won by one team. And that is something I noticed from this ref, or thought I could notice. You just got to do your job, regardless the score.
His home/away bias didn’t look brilliant at all. And that is again something that makes me doubt him. It gives me the impression that if he would go to a top team at home the visiting doesn’t need to travel up there. But again I must point at the fact that this could all change if we would have more data on this ref.
For now he can (based on those two games) stay in the PL. But we must keep a close eye on him and see if his bias will even out more between home and away and between the teams.