RefWatch – Newcastle United v Arsenal (13/08/2011 17:30) « Untold Arsenal: Arsenal News, supporting the club, the players and the manager

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By DogFace

  • Referee: Peter Walton (we think)
  • Assistant 1: Dunno?
  • Assistant 2: Umm… Nope!?
  • 4th Official: We’ll have to wait and see!

Good morning stat-fans and welcome to a new season of your favourite RefWatch – I knows you loves it I do! Well where do we start… or stat – let’s start with an apology – this RefWatch isn’t going to be the mega-launch that I’d planned – it’s true that I have some all new data and I have toiled hours upon hours creating a new database to model it. But that’s as far as I’ve got as I’ve had a bit of a busy time of late what with the new website and some family related stuff that I won’t inflict upon you.

Also – to compound this; the PGMOL in their infinite wisdom have not released the appointments through the usual channels – I have just found out via an article in a major newspaper (and a link from a kind reader) that we have Peter Walton for the Newcastle match – and this has left me as very short notice to knock something out. With all that in mind I have decided to stick with last season’s format for now and see what we can add as the season progresses.

Let’s have a look at Referee:

  • Full name: Peter Walton
  • Date of birth: 10 October 1959 (age 51)
  • Place of birth: Long Buckby, Northamptonshire, England
  • EPL Referee Since: 2003/2004
  • EPL Games to date: 154

Where’s me washboard?

It’s Peter Walton again… you remember him surely! He took the Stoke game when Ramsey got Shawcrossed and probably some others (Walter help please it’s late and it’s been a long week). On the whole though I would have to say that Peter Walton does not fill me with dread – my immediate feeling is that he’s slightly random and likes to ‘let the game flow’ (that or he just can’t keep up with play and/or he’s forgotten to bring his cards out with him… again) but he’s not inclined to mug us blind; so the question is: how is he for Newcastle – we’d better find out! Let’s check out his stats!

Peter Walton has had 5 games for Newcastle United consisting of 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses

Newcastle United are currently in 26th in Peter Walton’s personal Points Per Game League (for teams with a minimum of 4 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an average of 0.20 PPG.

In Peter Walton’s personal Handicap Swing League (for teams with a minimum of 4 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Newcastle United come 24th with an average negative swing of -1.69.

Newcastle United are currently in 15th in Peter Walton’s personal Booking’s Per Match League (for teams with a minimum of 4 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an overall average of 1.60 BPM.

In Peter Walton’s personal Fouls Per Booking League (for teams with a minimum of 4 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Newcastle United come 21st with an overall average of 5.88 FPB.

On the face of it this looks well good [for the Arsenal], but we must take into account that Walton has only take 5 EPL matches for Newcastle [since 2004] and these have all been away fixtures. Today represents his first visit to the Toon to take an EPL home fixture.

Peter Walton has had 11 games for Arsenal consisting of 8 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses

Arsenal are currently in 2nd in Peter Walton’s personal Points Per Game League (for teams with a minimum of 4 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an average of 2.45 PPG.

In Peter Walton’s personal Handicap Swing League (for teams with a minimum of 4 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Arsenal come 4th with an average positive swing of 0.86.

Arsenal are currently in 3rd in Peter Walton’s personal Booking’s Per Match League (for teams with a minimum of 4 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an overall average of 0.91 BPM.

In Peter Walton’s personal Fouls Per Booking League (for teams with a minimum of 4 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Arsenal come 5th with an overall average of 9.40 FPB.

All well and good then – let’s move on now to check out how Peter Walton performs against selected teams in the EPL:

So on the whole we compare quite well as we were the only team last season to come in under Walton with a positive performance against the handicap.

But – this is a new season and we have seen before how some officials can turn (both for and against) as allegiances appear to change [think ‘Phil Dowd’]. Also we need to take into account that this is the last game of the day and therefore doubly exposed both in the Asian markets [in terms of sheer liquidity] and the European markets [ESPN game and possible multiple buster].

The Predictortron gives us a 2.041667 goal advantage – so I’m hoping for a solid 3 pointer, that is the least we owe them.

Newcastle v Arsenal – the Untold Preview

Newcastle v Arsenal is the repeat of our very first ever league match.  Read the match report and player details here

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