RefWatch – Fulham Vs Arsenal (02/01/2012 – 17:30) « Untold Arsenal: Arsenal News, supporting the club, the players and the manager


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By DogFace

  • Referee: Lee Probert
  • Assistant 1: Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2: Adam Watts
  • 4th Official: Kevin Friend

Good morning stat-fans and welcome to RefWatch… another super quick one as I forgot there was a game today – well, I didn’t forget, it just sort of crept up on me.

Asian Handicap (betting line) market:

Home Handicap Away
1.900 1/2 – 0 2.000

The Under/Over market:

Over Handicap Under
1.950 2 1/2 1.950

Let’s have a look at the Referee:

  • Full name: Lee W Probert
  • Date of birth: 13-Aug-1972 (Age 40)
  • Place of birth: South Gloucestershire
  • Resides: Wiltshire
  • EPL/ECH Referee Since: 2003/2004
  • EPL/ECH Games to date: 164


Somewhere over the rainbow…

It’s Lee Probert again… you remember him:

Let’s check out his stats!

Lee Probert has had 7 games for Fulham consisting of 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses.

Fulham are currently in 40th in Lee Probert’s personal Points Per Game League (for teams with a minimum of 3 matches played), for matches in the EPL/ECH, with an average of 0.71 PPG.

In Lee Probert’s personal Handicap Swing League (for teams with a minimum of 3 matches played), for matches in the EPL/ECH, Fulham come 27th with an average negative swing of -0.21.

Fulham are currently in 15th in Lee Probert’s personal Booking’s Per Match League (for teams with a minimum of 3 matches played), for matches in the EPL/ECH, with an overall average of 1.29 BPM.

In Lee Probert’s personal Fouls Per Booking League (for teams with a minimum of 3 matches played), for matches in the EPL/ECH, Fulham come 11th with an overall average of 10.11 FPB.

Fulham’s figures under Lee Probert are pretty poor, they got something in 2010/2011 season in the way of points (but very little) and made the handicap but this might be reflective of them getting away with more in the challenge under him… it looks like they haven’t had a win under Lee Probert since the 2007/2008 season – since then it’s been 2 points from 6 games.

Above is a seasonal breakdown on how, when and where Fulham took all their bookings under Lee Probert.

Above is a seasonal breakdown on how, when and where Fulham’s opposition took all their bookings under Lee Probert.

Lee Probert has had 3 games for Arsenal consisting of 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses.

Arsenal are currently in 16th in Lee Probert’s personal Points Per Game League (for teams with a minimum of 3 matches played), for matches in the EPL/ECH, with an average of 1.67 PPG.

In Lee Probert’s personal Handicap Swing League (for teams with a minimum of 3 matches played), for matches in the EPL/ECH, Arsenal come 16th with an average positive swing of 0.17.

Arsenal are currently in 8th in Lee Probert’s personal Booking’s Per Match League (for teams with a minimum of 3 matches played), for matches in the EPL/ECH, with an overall average of 1.00 BPM.

In Lee Probert’s personal Fouls Per Booking League (for teams with a minimum of 3 matches played), for matches in the EPL/ECH, Arsenal come 10th with an overall average of 11.33 FPB.

As you can see we have only had 3 matches under Lee Probert; so we can’t draw too many conclusions. We underperformed under him last season in what was a bit of a shocker of a performance. I’m hoping that he’s going to make amends this match… curiously he was the fourth official in the Wolves home game under Stuart Attwell (if memory serves).

Above is a seasonal breakdown on how, when and where Arsenal took all their bookings under Lee Probert.

Above is a seasonal breakdown on how, when and where Arsenal’s opposition took all their bookings under Lee Probert.

Let’s move on now to check out how Lee Probert performs against selected teams in the EPL:

Out of the big four, Arsenal show the most significant underperformance under Lee Probert and Manchester United are the stand out performers. The good news is that Fulham are very poor performers against the handicap as shown by the thin red line.

The Predictortron gives Fulham a -1.841346 disadvantage but this is based on very little data AND this is a late kick off which means high exposure. The betting line is set at half ball and Arsenal are the long odds – if pushed I’d buy Arsenal and go Over but I can’t speak for the masses.

Speaking of which; as your ‘pusher’ I am contractually obliged to offer you the opportunity to support this site and start the new year with a burgeoning addiction here.

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