RefWatch – Bolton Wanderers v Arsenal (24/04/2011 16:00) « Untold Arsenal: Arsenal News. Supporting the Lord Wenger; coach of the decade
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RefWatch – Bolton Wanderers v Arsenal (24/04/2011 16:00)
By DogFace
- Referee: Mike Jones
- Assistant 1: Dave Bryan
- Assistant 2: Patrick Keane
- 4th Official: Chris Foy
Good afternoon stat-fans and welcome to RefWatch. [Actually the original copy from Dogface said “Good morning” but I got up very late today, so it is afternoon. Sorry. Tony]
Let’s have a look at Referee:
- Full name: Mike Jones
- Date of birth: 18 April 1968 (1968-04-18) (age 43)
- Place of birth: Chester, Cheshire, England
- EPL Referee Since: 2008/2009
- EPL Games to date: 55
Remind me again Andy, who’s supposed to win this one..?
Mike Jones hasn’t been too bad for us in the 5 matches he’s been at the whistle. The 4th official today is Chris Foy – who also has, statistically, given us a fair crack of the whip. As the end of this season draws nigh we should stop and wonder as to who is supposed to finish where and, indeed, how close and/or spectacular the league will get before the champion is crowned.
Mike Jones has had 6 games for Bolton Wanderers consisting of 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses
Bolton Wanderers are currently in 14th in Mike Jones’s personal Points Per Game League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an average of 0.33 PPG.
In Mike Jones’s personal Handicap Swing League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Bolton Wanderers come 11th with an average negative swing of -0.58.
Bolton Wanderers are currently in 9th in Mike Jones’s personal Booking’s Per Match League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an overall average of 2.00 BPM.
In Mike Jones’s personal Fouls Per Booking League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Bolton Wanderers come 2nd with an overall average of 8.25 FPB.
Mike Jones has had 5 games for Arsenal consisting of 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses
Arsenal are currently in 1st in Mike Jones’s personal Points Per Game League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an average of 2.60 PPG.
In Mike Jones’s personal Handicap Swing League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Arsenal come 1st with an average positive swing of 2.10.
Arsenal are currently in 4th in Mike Jones’s personal Booking’s Per Match League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, with an overall average of 1.40 BPM.
In Mike Jones’s personal Fouls Per Booking League (for teams with a minimum of 5 matches played), for matches in the English Premier, Arsenal come 9th with an overall average of 6.57 FPB.
What’s curious in the chart above is (Liverpool aside) the adherence to the Asian Handicap this season… a little over/under as you might expect – although I would say that this is more the exception than the rule. I think I should also start modelling the betting line for the number of goals scored as I’m starting to get a little suspicious about how closely referee performance correlates to the Asian Black markets.
The other major consideration, I would say, would be the day/time the match is played… if we consider that the amount of money on a match could have an effect on the result – then playing other than 15:00 on a Saturday afternoon would put a greater focus and economic expectation as to that result. It is fair to say that, if we assume that the EPL is fixed, then it is likely that the matches with the greatest audience would be the most fixed.
We will play this match at 23:00 Singapore time – the only EPL match that day.
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